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| #373591 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 PM 03.Sep.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 03 2010 ...EARL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...EXPECTED TO BRING RAIN AND STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND AND ATLANTIC CANADA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.0N 69.7W ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND AND FOR ALL OF LONG ISLAND. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD...NANTUCKET ISLAND...AND BLOCK ISLAND * STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE * THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH * THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO CANADA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...EARL WILL PASS OFFSHORE OF CAPE COD OVERNIGHT AND REACH THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. EARL IS A LARGE TROPICAL STORM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INTO THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA FROM RHODE ISLAND TO COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL REACH THE WARNING AREA IN DOWNEAST MAINE EARLY SATURDAY...AND SPREAD INTO THE WARNING AREA IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON SATURDAY. STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS COULD RISE BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD THROUGH SATURDAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
