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| #373615 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:49 AM 04.Sep.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 200 AM EDT SAT SEP 04 2010 ...EARL ACCELERATING TO THE NORTHEAST...EXPECTED TO BRING RAIN AND STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.6N 68.3W ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM ESE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SW OF CAPE SABLE NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD...NANTUCKET ISLAND... AND BLOCK ISLAND * STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE * THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE...AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH * THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED WAS LOCTAED BY SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 40.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL WILL REACH THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA BY EARLY AFTERNOON TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. EARL IS A LARGE TROPICAL STORM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL REACH THE WARNING AREA IN DOWNEAST MAINE LATER THIS MORNING...AND SPREAD INTO THE WARNING AREA IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY EARLY AFTERNOON. STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS COULD RISE BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL AROUND CAPE COD...ESPECIALLY IN CAPE COD BAY. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD THROUGH TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
