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| #373646 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 04.Sep.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 500 AM EDT SAT SEP 04 2010 ...EARL BEARING DOWN ON NOVA SCOTIA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.7N 67.1W ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM E OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR MASSACHUSETTS AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE * THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE...AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH * THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.1 WEST. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL WILL REACH THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A VERY LARGE AND STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIME PROVINCES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL REACH THE WARNING AREA IN DOWNEAST MAINE LATER THIS MORNING...AND SPREAD INTO THE WARNING AREA IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS COULD RISE BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST OF MAINE. WATER LEVELS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL VALUES ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. NEAR THE COASTS...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...NEW BRUNSWICK...NOVA SCOTIA...AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD THROUGH TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
