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#373737 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:46 PM 04.Sep.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 41A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 200 PM EDT SAT SEP 04 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM EARL RAKING NOVA SCOTIA...WIND INCREASING ON PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...45.8N 63.2W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF CHARLOTTETOWN PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THERE ARE SEVERAL CHANGES TO THE CANADIAN WATCHES AND WARNINGS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORTERS LAKE TO POINT TUPPER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE TO MARGARETSVILLE * MEDWAY HARBOUR AROUND THE EAST AND NORTH SIDE OF NOVA SCOTIA TO TIDNISH * THE EASTERN PORTION OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND FROM VICTORIA TO LOWER DARNLEY * THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.2 WEST. EARL HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR. THIS MOTION WILL BRING EARL ACROSS PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND AND THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE VERY SOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STATIONS IN EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA ARE STILL REPORTING SUSTAINED TROPICAL FORCE WINDS. BEAVER ISLAND ON THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH...104 KM/HR AND GUSTS TO 76 MPH...123 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL SPREADING OVER EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. THESE CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD OVER A LARGE PORTION OF CANADIAN MARITIMES LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ABOVE NORMAL VALUES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. RAINFALL...THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER NEW BRUNSWICK...NOVA SCOTIA AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA/BLAKE |