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#373772 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 04.Sep.2010) TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 42 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 500 PM EDT SAT SEP 04 2010 LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE EARL HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 35 KNOTS PRODUCING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. THE CYCLONE IS BECOMING A LITTLE BIT ASYMMETRIC AND THE WIND FIELD IS EXPANDING...BUT THERE IS PLENTY OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER FOR SUCH A HIGH LATITUDE CYCLONE. THIS MEANS THAT EARL STILL IS RETAINING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE AND BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TONIGHT. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 47.5N 62.2W 60 KT 12HR VT 05/0600Z 52.0N 58.5W 45 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24HR VT 05/1800Z 55.0N 55.0W 40 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36HR VT 06/0600Z 55.7N 51.0W 40 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48HR VT 06/1800Z 57.0N 51.0W 35 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72HR VT 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA |