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| #374139 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 06.Sep.2010) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 1500 UTC MON SEP 06 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE...AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE NORTHWARD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF LA CRUZ. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA CRUZ MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN ABOUT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN ABOUT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 95.8W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 95.8W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 95.4W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.9N 96.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.0N 98.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.1N 99.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.4N 100.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 36.0N 99.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 95.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI |
