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| #374203 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 06.Sep.2010) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 2100 UTC MON SEP 06 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA CRUZ MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN ABOUT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN ABOUT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 97.0W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 20SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 97.0W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 96.6W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 26.2N 98.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 28.5N 99.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 30.7N 100.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.0N 100.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 38.0N 98.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 97.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI |
