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| #374274 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 06.Sep.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 1000 PM CDT MON SEP 06 2010 ...HERMINE MADE LANDFALL AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.5N 97.5W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM N OF LA PESCA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF BAHIA ALGODONES MEXICO. THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAHIA ALGODONES MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES ...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.5 WEST. HERMINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...HERMINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT...AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY AND INTO CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE OBSERVING SITE IN MALAQUITE BEACH TEXAS RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 41 MPH...66 KM/HR...AND A PEAK GUST TO 47 MPH... 76 KM/HR. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN THE WARNING AREA AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...AND FROM SOUTHERN INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER AND MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN |
