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| #374408 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 07.Sep.2010) TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM HERMINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 1000 AM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 HERMINE CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS BUT IS MAINTAINING A WELL-DEFINED PRESENTATION ON RADAR IMAGERY. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW WINDS IN THE 30 TO 35 KT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION...SO THE SYSTEM IS BEING MAINTAINED AS A TROPICAL STORM FOR THIS ADVISORY. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS HERMINE IS FORECAST TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND...AND ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. SURFACE AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT HERMINE HAS BEEN MOVING SLIGHTLY RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ESTIMATES...350/15. A GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BRINGING HERMINE...OR ITS REMNANTS...WELL INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS TRACK FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INITIAL MOTION AND POSITION. THE PRIMARY HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH HERMINE WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PART OF THE UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 28.3N 98.2W 35 KT 12HR VT 08/0000Z 30.1N 99.2W 25 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 08/1200Z 32.3N 99.9W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36HR VT 09/0000Z 34.9N 99.3W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48HR VT 09/1200Z 37.6N 97.7W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72HR VT 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI |
