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#374487 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 07.Sep.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 400 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 ...HERMINE STILL A TROPICAL STORM...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.9N 98.7W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM WSW OF AUSTIN TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.7 WEST. HERMINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WERE REPORTED IN THE SAN ANTONIO AREA DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER OF HERMINE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL GRADUALLY RECEDE...BUT REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...FROM THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH |