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#374513 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:49 PM 07.Sep.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 700 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 ...HERMINE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.1N 99.4W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM SW OF BRADY TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...33 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.4 WEST. HERMINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...33 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS HERMINE MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER CENTRAL TEXAS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL GRADUALLY RECEDE...BUT REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...FROM THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS EVENING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |