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| #375606 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 12.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 2100 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO..SAO TIAGO... FOGO...AND BRAVA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 22.8W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 22.8W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 22.3W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.7N 24.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.6N 27.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.6N 29.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 85NE 60SE 45SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.9N 30.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.4N 34.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 34 KT...115NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 24.0N 39.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 27.1N 45.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 22.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
