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| #375609 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 12.Sep.2010) TCMAT1 HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010 2100 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 46.9W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 110SE 90SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 30SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 46.9W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 46.3W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.8N 48.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.1N 50.8W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.7N 52.6W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.4N 54.3W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 21.3N 57.1W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 23.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 25.8N 62.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 46.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN |
