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#375681 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 12.Sep.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 1100 PM AST SUN SEP 12 2010 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM...TENTH OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 23.5W ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO... FOGO...AND BRAVA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 23.5 WEST. JULIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND JULIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. RAINFALL...JULIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |