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#375682 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 12.Sep.2010) TCMAT1 HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010 0300 UTC MON SEP 13 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 47.8W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 110SE 90SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 60SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 47.8W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 47.3W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.8N 49.5W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 105SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.2N 51.3W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.9N 53.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.8N 54.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 165SE 135SW 165NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.0N 57.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 50 KT...105NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 165SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 24.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N 63.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 47.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |