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| #375727 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 13.Sep.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 500 AM AST MON SEP 13 2010 ...JULIA VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.4N 24.6W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO... FOGO...AND BRAVA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 24.6 WEST. JULIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NEAR THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THIS MORNING...AND AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND JULIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THIS MORNING. THESE WINDS SHOULD DECREASE LATER TODAY. RAINFALL...JULIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
