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| #375803 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:43 PM 13.Sep.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 200 PM AST MON SEP 13 2010 ...JULIA A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 26.7W ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO... FOGO...AND BRAVA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.7 WEST. JULIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND JULIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. RAINFALL...THE RAINFALL THREAT FROM JULIA ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY AS THE STORM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE ISLANDS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN |
