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| #3759 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 AM 04.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004 0900Z WED AUG 04 2004 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE ...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI LATER TODAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 60.7W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 60.7W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 59.8W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.6N 63.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.8N 66.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.3N 69.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.5N 70.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.5N 71.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 28.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 32.0N 69.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 60.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
