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| #375912 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 13.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 28.0W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 45SE 45SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 28.0W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 27.5W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.3N 29.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.5N 31.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.1N 32.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 21.1N 35.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 24.3N 40.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.5N 46.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 31.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 28.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
