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| #375951 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 14.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 0900 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 29.0W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 29.0W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 28.4W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.8N 30.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.1N 31.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 95SE 75SW 95NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.7N 33.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.5N 36.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.5N 42.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 27.5N 48.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 32.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 29.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
