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| #376009 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 14.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 1500 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 29.5W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 29.5W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 29.2W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.2N 30.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT...105NE 70SE 55SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.7N 32.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 95SE 75SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.3N 34.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.2N 37.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 55NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.7N 44.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 55NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 32.5N 50.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 29.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
