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| #376175 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 AM 15.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 0900 UTC WED SEP 15 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 31.8W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 30SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 120SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 31.8W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 31.4W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.6N 33.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 55NW. 34 KT...120NE 95SE 75SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.4N 35.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.2N 39.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.4N 42.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.3N 48.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 30.0N 50.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 34.0N 49.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 31.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
