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| #376447 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 16.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 1500 UTC THU SEP 16 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 38.6W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 270SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 38.6W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 37.6W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.7N 41.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.5N 44.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.3N 47.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 29.3N 49.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.2N 49.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 35.8N 46.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 38.0N 42.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 38.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
