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#376520 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 16.Sep.2010)
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
2100 UTC THU SEP 16 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 41.1W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 41.1W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 40.0W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.2N 43.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.0N 47.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 27.9N 49.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.1N 51.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 37.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 41.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG