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| #376598 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 PM 16.Sep.2010) TCMAT3 HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010 0300 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CABO ROJO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ * THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 94.5W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 94.5W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 94.1W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.7N 95.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.7N 96.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.5N 98.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.5N 100.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 94.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
