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| #376730 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 17.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 1500 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 46.7W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 270SE 240SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 46.7W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 45.8W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.8N 48.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 28.3N 51.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 30.9N 52.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.2N 51.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.4N 48.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 46.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
