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| #376768 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:53 PM 17.Sep.2010) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE KARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010 100 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010 ...CENTER OF KARL NOW INLAND JUST TO THE WEST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 96.4W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM W OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CABO ROJO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ * THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.4 WEST. KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KARL SHOULD MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH... 175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KARL IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER OF KARL MOVES FARTHER INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. AN AUTOMATED STATION IN THE HARBOR AT VERACRUZ MEXICO RECENTLY REPORTED 10-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 65 MPH...105 KM/HR... AND A WIND GUST OF 94 MPH...152 KM/HR. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 12 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE CENTER OF KARL IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS WILL SPREAD INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE CENTER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. RAINFALL...KARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MEXICAN GULF COAST REGION...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
