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#376826 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 17.Sep.2010) TCMAT1 HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010 2100 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR BERMUDA AT 2 PM AST...1800 UTC. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 61.1W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 50 KT.......155NE 110SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT.......300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW. 12 FT SEAS..660NE 540SE 420SW 690NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 61.1W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 60.7W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 24.8N 62.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 26.2N 64.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 27.9N 64.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 30.0N 65.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 35.5N 62.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 115SW 115NW. 34 KT...310NE 300SE 265SW 250NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 43.5N 52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 52.0N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 61.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |