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| #376889 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 17.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 0300 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 49.2W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 270SE 240SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 49.2W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 48.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 28.1N 50.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.0N 52.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.5N 52.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 35.5N 50.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.0N 46.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 49.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA |
