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#376952 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 18.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 0900 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 50.1W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 50.1W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 49.7W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 29.5N 51.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.3N 52.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.5N 51.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 36.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.5N 44.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...ABSORBED BY IGOR REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 50.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |