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#377071 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 18.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 2100 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 51.8W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 51.8W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 51.4W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.6N 52.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...125NE 90SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.8N 51.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 36.4N 49.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.0N 47.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.0N 43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 51.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |