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| #377772 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 21.Sep.2010) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010 1500 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 31.7W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 31.7W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 31.7W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.3N 31.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.7N 31.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 32.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N 33.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 20.1N 34.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.9N 35.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 21.0N 37.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 31.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
