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| #378056 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 22.Sep.2010) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010 2100 UTC WED SEP 22 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 30.2W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 30.2W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 30.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.6N 29.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 50SE 45SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.8N 29.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.1N 30.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.6N 31.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 20.1N 32.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 65NE 50SE 40SW 65NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 22.0N 35.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 24.0N 38.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 30.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
