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| #378252 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:53 PM 23.Sep.2010) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010 1800 UTC THU SEP 23 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 76.2W AT 23/1800Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 76.2W AT 23/1800Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 74.8W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.1N 77.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 35NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.7N 80.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.4N 83.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.9N 85.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW. 34 KT... 65NE 50SE 30SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.9N 87.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 85NE 75SE 45SW 85NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 88.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 19.5N 87.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 76.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
