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#378284 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 23.Sep.2010) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010 2100 UTC THU SEP 23 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 76.9W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 76.9W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 76.2W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.4N 78.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.1N 81.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.6N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.2N 85.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 55SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.1N 88.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 85NE 75SE 45SW 85NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.3N 88.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N 87.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 76.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |