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#378434 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 24.Sep.2010) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010 1500 UTC FRI SEP 24 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 27.8W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 27.8W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 27.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.8N 27.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.2N 28.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.9N 28.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 24.3N 29.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.5N 29.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 28.0N 30.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 27.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |