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#378500 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 24.Sep.2010) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010 2100 UTC FRI SEP 24 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 27.8W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 27.8W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 27.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.0N 28.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.5N 28.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.1N 28.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.3N 29.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.3N 29.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 29.0N 30.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 27.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |