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| #378610 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 25.Sep.2010) TCMAT4 HURRICANE LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010 0900 UTC SAT SEP 25 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 28.1W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 28.1W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 28.0W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.1N 28.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.7N 28.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.1N 28.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.4N 28.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 29.5N 29.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 31.6N 29.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 28.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
