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#378881 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 26.Sep.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010 1000 AM CDT SUN SEP 26 2010 ...MATTHEW WEAKENS TO A REMNANT LOW BUT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 92.9W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF VILLAHERMOSA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT LOW OF MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.9 WEST. THE LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY...AND THE LOW COULD BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY BY TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 25 MPH...35 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS LIKELY AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO BY MONDAY NIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE REMNANT LOW OF MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES FROM FAR SOUTHERN MEXICO INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 30 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA EVEN AFTER THE REMNANT OF MATTHEW DISSIPATES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON MATTHEW. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SEE STATEMENTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |