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| #378949 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 26.Sep.2010) TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010 500 PM AST SUN SEP 26 2010 A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS LINGERING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION OF LISA. THIS CONVECTION...HOWEVER...IS LOCATED OVER 100 N MI FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. IN FACT...DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOT BEEN WITHIN 100 N MI OF THE CENTER FOR ABOUT THE LAST 11 HOURS. THEREFORE...LISA NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR OF AT LEAST 30 KT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS...COUPLED WITH A STABLE ATMOSPHERE AND A RELATIVELY COOL OCEAN SHOULD PREVENT REGENERATION. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 335/6. THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 26.1N 29.4W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12HR VT 27/0600Z 26.8N 30.1W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24HR VT 27/1800Z 27.9N 31.0W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36HR VT 28/0600Z 29.1N 31.4W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48HR VT 28/1800Z 30.2N 31.4W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72HR VT 29/1800Z 31.4N 31.1W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96HR VT 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
