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| #3792 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 04.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004 1500Z WED AUG 04 2004 AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI LATER TODAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 62.7W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 62.7W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 61.7W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.5N 65.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.6N 68.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.0N 71.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.0N 72.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 29.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 34.0N 68.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 62.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
