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| #379738 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 29.Sep.2010) TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010 500 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010 SATELLITE...AIRCRAFT...AND SURFACE DATA SHOW THAT THE CIRCULATION OF NICOLE HAS BECOME ELONGATED THIS AFTERNOON. THE CENTER... WHICH WAS NEVER VERY WELL DEFINED...HAS BECOME UN-TRACKABLE AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. THE 12Z GFS AND ECMWF MODELS ONCE AGAIN FORECAST THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT. THIS NEW LOW...NOT CONSIDERED TO BE THE REMNANT OF NICOLE...IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AS A GALE CENTER DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF NICOLE ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. RAINFALL IN FLORIDA SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 24.5N 80.0W 35 KT...POST-TROPICAL 12HR VT 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
