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| #38125 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 07.Aug.2005) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005 1500Z SUN AUG 07 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 53.5W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......105NE 80SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 175SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 53.5W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 54.0W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 36.9N 52.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...105NE 80SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 38.1N 50.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 39.3N 48.8W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 40.2N 46.4W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 41.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 75SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 42.0N 38.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 42.5N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N 53.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN |
