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#381284 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 06.Oct.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010 500 AM AST WED OCT 06 2010 ...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.2N 67.0W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM NNW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED BY LATE TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE FORECAST ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM NOAA BUOY 41043 SUGGEST THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ABOUT 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |