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#381346 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 06.Oct.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010 1100 AM AST WED OCT 06 2010 ...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION GRADUALLY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED WELL EAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.0N 68.0W ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM ENE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND ABOUT 670 MI...1080 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH... 11 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN TO THE NORTHEAST...ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...ARE FORECAST ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |