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#381408 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 06.Oct.2010) TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010 2100 UTC WED OCT 06 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 68.3W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 45SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 80SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 80SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 68.3W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 68.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.8N 68.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.5N 67.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 25.5N 66.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 26.8N 63.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 30.3N 55.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 34.5N 44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 39.0N 31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 68.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |