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#381524 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 07.Oct.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM OTTO ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010 500 AM AST THU OCT 07 2010 ...OTTO NOT MOVING MUCH... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.6N 68.2W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM NE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND ABOUT 635 MI...1025 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OTTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY LATE TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...OTTO SHOULD REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A FASTER NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST BY LATE FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OTTO COULD TRANSITION INTO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |