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| #382713 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:40 PM 12.Oct.2010) TCDAT3 HURRICANE PAULA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182010 1245 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE ENTERED THE EYE OF PAULA AND ENCOUNTERED STRONGER WINDS THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN SET TO 85 KNOTS AND THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE TRACK FORECAST. THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY SUPERSEDES THE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY THAT WAS SCHEDULED FOR 1 PM CDT...1800 UTC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1745Z 18.8N 85.8W 85 KT 12HR VT 13/0000Z 19.9N 86.4W 95 KT 24HR VT 13/1200Z 21.0N 86.5W 95 KT 36HR VT 14/0000Z 21.5N 86.5W 95 KT 48HR VT 14/1200Z 22.0N 86.0W 85 KT 72HR VT 15/1200Z 22.0N 85.5W 70 KT 96HR VT 16/1200Z 22.0N 85.0W 60 KT 120HR VT 17/1200Z 21.5N 84.0W 50 KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA/BERG |
