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| #383193 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 14.Oct.2010) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM PAULA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182010 2100 UTC THU OCT 14 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 82.8W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 82.8W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 83.3W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.0N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.0N 79.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 23.0N 78.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.5N 78.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 82.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
