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| #383304 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 15.Oct.2010) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182010 500 AM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010 ...PAULA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.1N 80.2W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM E OF VARADERO CUBA ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM NW OF CAIBARIEN CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PAULA IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA BY SATURDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...PAULA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER CENTRAL CUBA AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS THROUGH SATURDAY. STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH CENTRAL CUBA SHOULD SUBSIDE TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
